Global economic environment

Our planning assumes that the global economy will grow at a pace similar to that seen in 2025. Easing inflation in key economies, together with the gradual loosening of monetary policy, is expected to support consumer demand. Our view remains that risks may emerge from the increasing fragmentation of the global economy, rising protectionist tendencies, volatility across financial, energy, and commodity markets, and structural deficits in certain countries.

We anticipate that economic growth in Western Europe will slow compared with 2025, while average inflation is expected to continue declining. However, we do not foresee any further cuts in key interest rates by the European Central Bank (ECB).


